FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 4-5
Darlington FC vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
DAR
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 1
FYL
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 4
DAR
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
5 - 1
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MIC
2 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STN
2 - 4
MAR
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
STN
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ILK
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |