Danubio vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DAN
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
DAN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ETS
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
SUD
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |