Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TAC
0 - 0
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
DAN
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ETS
2 - 1
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUD
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 6
DEF
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |