Copa Libertadores . Semi-finals
Global 0-6
Danubio vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
DAN
2 - 1
COB
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
COB
0 - 2
DAN
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 3
DAN
95%
3%
2%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
3%
27%
71%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |