Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+255%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 1
DAN
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 1
DAN
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
NOR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 2
PAS
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 1
BEN
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
WEC
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 3
SOU
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |