Australia Second Division Victory Round 22

Dandenong Thunder SC vs Port Melbourne Sharks analysis

Dandenong Thunder SC Port Melbourne Sharks
36 ELO 38
9.8% Tilt -3.1%
4694º General ELO ranking 7601º
43º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Dandenong Thunder SC
22.6%
Draw
39%
Port Melbourne Sharks

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38.9%
Win probability
Port Melbourne Sharks
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dandenong Thunder SC
+105%
-55%
Port Melbourne Sharks

Points and table prediction

Dandenong Thunder SC
Their league position
Port Melbourne Sharks
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
12º
10º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Melbourne
60
60
100%
Avondale Heights
54
54
100%
Oakleigh Cannons
53
53
100%
Heidelberg Utd
51
51
100%
Hume City FC
50
50
100%
Dandenong City
37
37
100%
FC Melbourne Knights
35
35
100%
Altona Magic
33
33
0%
Port Melbourne Sharks
33
33
0%
Dandenong Thunder SC
10º
28
28
10º
100%
St Albans Saints
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Green Gully Cavaliers
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Manningham United
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Moreland City
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dandenong Thunder SC
Port Melbourne Sharks
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dandenong Thunder SC
Port Melbourne Sharks
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dandenong Thunder SC
Dandenong Thunder SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2024
SOU
South Melbourne
1 - 0
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
76%
15%
8%
34 50 16 0
29 Jun. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 1
Green Gully Cavaliers
GRE
41%
23%
36%
34 39 5 0
22 Jun. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 0
Dandenong City
DAC
58%
20%
22%
33 31 2 +1
15 Jun. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
3 - 1
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
9%
17%
74%
25 51 26 +8
08 Jun. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
0 - 4
Altona Magic
ALM
39%
22%
39%
26 30 4 -1

Matches

Port Melbourne Sharks
Port Melbourne Sharks
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2024
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 - 2
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
22%
23%
55%
39 48 9 0
29 Jun. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
1 - 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
23%
22%
56%
41 31 10 -2
22 Jun. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
0 - 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
52%
23%
25%
40 44 4 +1
15 Jun. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
2 - 2
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
16%
18%
66%
41 22 19 -1
08 Jun. 2024
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 - 3
Hume City FC
HUM
51%
24%
25%
42 39 3 -1