Damaiense vs União Mercês analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Damaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 0
DAM
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DAM
3 - 1
MEM
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União Mercês
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UME
1 - 2
OLI
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |