A Lyga . Jor. 11

Dainava vs FK Panevėžys analysis

Dainava FK Panevėžys
61 ELO 76
-2.9% Tilt -3.8%
2236º General ELO ranking 591º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.4%
Dainava
26.7%
Draw
52.9%
FK Panevėžys

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
Dainava
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.9%
Win probability
FK Panevėžys
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dainava
+4%
-10%
FK Panevėžys

Points and table prediction

Dainava
Their league position
FK Panevėžys
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
10º
15
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zalgiris Vilnius
37
75
74%
FC Hegelmann
29
67
52%
Kauno Žalgiris
20
60
48%
FK Panevėžys
15
48
27%
Siauliai
17
46
17.5%
Dziugas Telsiai
25
45
13%
Sūduva
19
39
17.5%
Banga
19
39
17.5%
Transinvest Vilnius
10º
13
39
24%
Dainava
19
36
10º
33.5%
Expected probabilities
Dainava
FK Panevėžys
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0.5%
Conference League knock out round
0.5% 11.5%
Mid-table
45% 85.5%
Relegation play-offs
21% 1.5%
Relegation
33.5% 1%

ELO progression

Dainava
FK Panevėžys
Siauliai
Kauno Žalgiris
Transinvest Vilnius
Zalgiris Vilnius
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dainava
Dainava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2024
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
4 - 0
Dainava
DAI
73%
18%
10%
61 76 15 0
20 Apr. 2024
FAS
Siauliai
1 - 0
Dainava
DAI
59%
24%
17%
61 71 10 0
14 Apr. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
1 - 0
Dainava
DAI
67%
21%
12%
61 76 15 0
09 Apr. 2024
HLI
FC Hegelmann
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
73%
17%
10%
60 74 14 +1
06 Apr. 2024
DAI
Dainava
2 - 2
Banga
BAN
50%
26%
24%
60 58 2 0

Matches

FK Panevėžys
FK Panevėžys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
PAN
FK Panevėžys
1 - 1
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
59%
25%
16%
76 60 16 0
14 Apr. 2024
PAN
FK Panevėžys
1 - 2
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
76 76 0 0
10 Apr. 2024
FAS
Siauliai
1 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
32%
28%
40%
76 71 5 0
07 Apr. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
0 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
41%
27%
33%
76 75 1 0
30 Mar. 2024
HLI
FC Hegelmann
4 - 2
FK Panevėžys
PAN
42%
26%
32%
76 73 3 0
X