K-League Classic Relegation Play-offs Round 12

Daegu FC vs Incheon United analysis

Daegu FC Incheon United
77 ELO 77
5.7% Tilt 8.9%
1116º General ELO ranking 531º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.2%
Daegu FC
25.5%
Draw
23.3%
Incheon United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
Daegu FC
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.3%
Win probability
Incheon United
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Daegu FC
-20%
+11%
Incheon United

ELO progression

Daegu FC
Incheon United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Daegu FC
Daegu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2012
SEO
Seongnam FC
0 - 2
Daegu FC
DAE
46%
25%
30%
77 77 0 0
17 Nov. 2012
DAE
Daegu FC
2 - 2
Gangwon FC
GAN
48%
25%
27%
77 77 0 0
11 Nov. 2012
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 - 2
Daegu FC
DAE
41%
26%
33%
77 77 0 0
04 Nov. 2012
DAE
Daegu FC
0 - 1
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
49%
25%
26%
77 77 0 0
28 Oct. 2012
DAE
Daegu FC
4 - 1
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
47%
25%
28%
77 77 0 0

Matches

Incheon United
Incheon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2012
GWA
Gwangju FC
1 - 1
Incheon United
INC
52%
24%
24%
77 77 0 0
18 Nov. 2012
INC
Incheon United
1 - 0
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
41%
27%
33%
77 77 0 0
11 Nov. 2012
INC
Incheon United
0 - 0
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
44%
27%
29%
77 77 0 0
03 Nov. 2012
SEO
Seongnam FC
1 - 2
Incheon United
INC
50%
26%
24%
77 77 0 0
27 Oct. 2012
INC
Incheon United
3 - 2
Gwangju FC
GWA
48%
25%
28%
77 77 0 0