Czarni Połaniec vs Unia Tarnów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
18º
9º
40
11º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czarni Połaniec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KSW
1 - 0
CPO
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CPO
1 - 0
CRA
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
3 - 0
CPO
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 3
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
1 - 0
CPO
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
1 - 2
ASW
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MSK
5 - 2
UTA
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 0
WIS
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
7 - 0
UTA
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 6
CHE
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |