Cynthia vs USD Castelsardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 0
CYN
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CYN
2 - 0
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
CYN
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CYN
1 - 0
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AST
1 - 1
CYN
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USD Castelsardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
USD
2 - 0
FBC
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USD
0 - 0
VIL
26%
26%
49%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 1
USD
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
USD
0 - 1
AST
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
1 - 1
USD
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |