Customs United vs Assumption analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Customs United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
THA
3 - 2
CUS
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
CUS
3 - 1
RJW
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
CUS
1 - 3
BUR
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RJW
2 - 3
CUS
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CUS
0 - 1
THA
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 2
NBC
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
PAK
2 - 0
ASS
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAK
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
NBC
2 - 1
ASS
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ASS
3 - 2
CUS
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |