Curicó Unido vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
15º
13º
37
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
CUR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 3
LIM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DLS
1 - 0
CUR
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
CUR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
DSC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
DLS
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 0
LIM
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
UCO
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |