Curicó Unido vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
CUR
5 - 2
NUB
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
CUR
86%
10%
3%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 3
MAG
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COQ
2 - 1
CUR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 0
USF
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
NUB
1 - 0
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
CUR
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |