Apertura B Phase 2 Round 5

Curicó Unido vs Concepción analysis

Curicó Unido Concepción
50 ELO 54
-7.2% Tilt -3.2%
1997º General ELO ranking 2200º
24º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Curicó Unido
26.3%
Draw
35.7%
Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
Curicó Unido
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
Concepción
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Curicó Unido
-3%
+6%
Concepción

ELO progression

Curicó Unido
Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Curicó Unido
Curicó Unido
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2012
NUB
Ñublense
1 - 1
Curicó Unido
CUR
78%
15%
7%
50 65 15 0
08 Apr. 2012
LOT
Lota Schwager
2 - 0
Curicó Unido
CUR
44%
27%
30%
52 51 1 -2
01 Apr. 2012
CUR
Curicó Unido
2 - 1
Coquimbo Unido
COQ
46%
27%
27%
51 52 1 +1
24 Mar. 2012
MAG
Magallanes
2 - 2
Curicó Unido
CUR
58%
23%
19%
51 55 4 0
18 Feb. 2012
CUR
Curicó Unido
0 - 1
Unión Temuco
UNI
49%
25%
26%
51 51 0 0

Matches

Concepción
Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2012
CON
Concepción
0 - 0
CDS Naval
NTA
57%
24%
19%
54 51 3 0
08 Apr. 2012
COQ
Coquimbo Unido
3 - 0
Concepción
CON
40%
26%
35%
55 51 4 -1
01 Apr. 2012
CON
Concepción
0 - 1
Barnechea
BAR
50%
24%
26%
56 56 0 -1
25 Mar. 2012
SAN
San Luis de Quillota
2 - 1
Concepción
CON
37%
26%
37%
56 52 4 0
18 Feb. 2012
LOT
Lota Schwager
0 - 5
Concepción
CON
38%
27%
35%
55 54 1 +1