Vinotinto Ecuador vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
10º
3º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 0
CUN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
OCT
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUN
62%
24%
15%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
CSV
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUN
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
INJ
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 3
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAC
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |