Lowland League round 12

Cumbernauld Colts vs Albion Rovers analysis

Cumbernauld Colts Albion Rovers
41 ELO 45
-0.4% Tilt 3.5%
6703º General ELO ranking 4757º
70º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Cumbernauld Colts
24.9%
Draw
38.1%
Albion Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
Cumbernauld Colts
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.1%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cumbernauld Colts
+27%
+24%
Albion Rovers

Points and table prediction

Cumbernauld Colts
Their league position
Albion Rovers
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
18º
14º
54
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
77
77
100%
Celtic II
70
70
100%
Caledonian Braves
63
63
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
61
61
0%
Linlithgow Rose
61
61
0%
Albion Rovers
54
54
100%
Broxburn Athletic
51
51
100%
Civil Service Strollers
47
47
100%
East Stirlingshire
43
43
100%
Cowdenbeath
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Hearts II
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Bo'ness United
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Stirling University
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Gretna 2008
15º
33
33
15º
0%
Berwick Rangers
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Broomhill FC
18º
31
31
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Cumbernauld Colts
Albion Rovers
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cumbernauld Colts
Albion Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cumbernauld Colts
Cumbernauld Colts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2024
THE
East Stirlingshire
5 - 0
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
25%
23%
52%
44 34 10 0
28 Sep. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
0 - 3
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
45%
23%
32%
45 42 3 -1
21 Sep. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
0 - 1
Stirling University
STI
44%
23%
33%
46 45 1 -1
07 Sep. 2024
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
4 - 4
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
15%
18%
68%
47 25 22 -1
03 Sep. 2024
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
4 - 3
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
32%
25%
42%
48 44 4 -1

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2024
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 1
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
39%
25%
36%
44 44 0 0
28 Sep. 2024
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Auchinleck Talbot
AUC
24%
22%
55%
45 51 6 -1
21 Sep. 2024
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
64%
21%
16%
45 34 11 0
03 Sep. 2024
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 2
Broomhill FC
BFC
58%
22%
20%
45 37 8 0
31 Aug. 2024
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 3
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
76%
15%
9%
45 26 19 0