Copa Colombia . 1/16
Global 1-0
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CUC
23%
28%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CUC
2 - 0
REA
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
CUC
30%
29%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CUC
2 - 1
BJC
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOR
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |