Cuba SP vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ODE
2 - 1
CUB
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 2
CUB
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CUB
2 - 1
GUA
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CUB
3 - 1
ALM
25%
22%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PIE
2 - 1
CUB
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ODE
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
CAG
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
GUA
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
SER
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |