CSW vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DHS
2 - 0
CSW
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CSW
0 - 2
HUI
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AAL
1 - 2
CSW
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CSW
7 - 0
HCF
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
VOL
5 - 2
CSW
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
ARG
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ROD
5 - 2
ARC
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
7 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARC
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ARC
6 - 1
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +2 |