CSP vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 1
BOT
7%
18%
75%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SCL
1 - 0
CSP
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 0
PER
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 4
ATL
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
CSP
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRE
33%
27%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 2
TRE
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
CSP
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |