CSP vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 3
CSP
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
CSP
1 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CSP
5 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
0 - 2
CSP
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CSP
66%
19%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
0 - 3
TRE
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
TRE
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |