CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
CSP
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
CAM
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
ECP
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |