Paraibano . Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
CSP vs Serrano PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
CSP
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
CSP
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CSP
0 - 2
CAM
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 3
CSP
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
CSP
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
0 - 1
NAC
52%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
AUT
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
SPB
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |