CSKA Sofia vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
STB
3 - 3
CSK
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
MON
3 - 1
CSK
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CSK
9 - 0
VID
91%
7%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LPL
1 - 1
CSK
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CSK
5 - 1
ETA
85%
11%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
STB
3 - 3
CSK
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 4
STB
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
STB
3 - 1
PRO
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
UCL
1 - 7
STB
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
STB
5 - 1
TIM
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |