CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
15º
11º
3
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 21 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 20 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 20 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 19 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 17 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 15 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 14 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 12 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 11 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 11 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
79.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 1
CSK
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 0
CVA
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 0
CSK
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 1
SVA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
SEP
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 1
DOB
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 3
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 1
SEP
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SEP
1 - 2
LSO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |