CSKA Sofia vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
CSK
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 1
KAL
82%
13%
4%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHB
2 - 0
CSK
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 3
CSK
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
LSO
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 3
MON
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHB
2 - 0
MON
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
TUN
0 - 0
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
SSO
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |