Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 4-1
CSKA Sofia vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1965 |
LIM
1 - 2
CSK
37%
23%
41%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
CSK
1 - 1
BER
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CSK
4 - 2
CHB
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
CSK
2 - 1
LPL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
CSK
1 - 2
SPS
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1965 |
LIM
1 - 2
CSK
37%
23%
41%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
YOB
4 - 2
LIM
74%
14%
12%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
LIM
0 - 5
YOB
32%
22%
46%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |