CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLK
1 - 0
CSK
22%
28%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 0
LPL
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BVR
1 - 1
CSK
15%
25%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
BER
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LSO
1 - 2
CVA
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
4 - 0
CVA
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |