A PFG Championship round Round 1

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis

CSKA Sofia Cherno More Varna
78 ELO 77
-5.1% Tilt -11.9%
925º General ELO ranking 796º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.2%
CSKA Sofia
27.9%
Draw
26.8%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.8%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSKA Sofia
+9%
-3%
Cherno More Varna

Points and table prediction

CSKA Sofia
Their league position
Cherno More Varna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
54
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CSKA Sofia
84
11
100%
Ludogorets
85
11
100%
Levski Sofia
61
7
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
64
5
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54
4
100%
Cherno More Varna
54
1
100%
Expected probabilities
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
5 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
24%
17%
78 67 11 0
04 May. 2023
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
0 - 4
CSKA Sofia
CSK
20%
28%
53%
77 61 16 +1
30 Apr. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
36%
26%
38%
78 78 0 -1
23 Apr. 2023
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
29%
28%
43%
78 66 12 0
17 Apr. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 0
Levski Sofia
LSO
44%
28%
29%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
58%
23%
19%
78 78 0 0
07 May. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 2
Spartak Varna
SVA
67%
22%
12%
78 63 15 0
03 May. 2023
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
2 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
46%
27%
27%
78 76 2 0
30 Apr. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSK
38%
27%
35%
78 78 0 0
25 Apr. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
40%
25%
35%
78 78 0 0