A PFG Temporada Regular. Jor. 20

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv analysis

CSKA Sofia Botev Plovdiv
78 ELO 72
-3.7% Tilt -9.8%
518º General ELO ranking 770º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.2%
CSKA Sofia
25.5%
Draw
23.3%
Botev Plovdiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.3%
Win probability
Botev Plovdiv
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSKA Sofia
+11%
+11%
Botev Plovdiv

Points and table prediction

CSKA Sofia
Their league position
Botev Plovdiv
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
32
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
74
74
100%
CSKA Sofia
70
71
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
59
59
100%
Levski Sofia
54
54
100%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50
50
100%
Slavia Sofia
49
49
100%
Arda Kardzhali
42
42
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38
38
100%
Botev Plovdiv
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Botev Vratsa
11º
28
29
11º
100%
Beroe
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Spartak Varna
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
BER
Beroe
1 - 4
CSKA Sofia
CSK
29%
28%
43%
78 69 9 0
05 Feb. 2023
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 - 2
CSKA Sofia
CSK
24%
25%
52%
78 61 17 0
30 Jan. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
3 - 3
Shakhter Karagandy
SHA
50%
25%
25%
78 75 3 0
29 Jan. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 0
Makedonija GP
MAK
64%
20%
15%
78 64 14 0
27 Jan. 2023
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 0
Astana
AST
48%
24%
28%
78 76 2 0

Matches

Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2023
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
53%
25%
22%
72 69 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
64%
20%
17%
72 62 10 0
27 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 1
Spartak Moskva
SPA
29%
24%
47%
72 82 10 0
25 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 1
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
46%
24%
30%
72 73 1 0
21 Jan. 2023
CAR
Riga FC
4 - 4
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
50%
26%
25%
72 76 4 0
X