CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
8º
3º
23
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSK
4 - 0
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 2
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
4 - 1
AKS
77%
13%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 1
ČUK
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 1
ROS
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 2
MET
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 2
HEB
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
WIS
1 - 0
HEB
64%
20%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 1
HEB
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
HEB
27%
23%
49%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |