CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
8º
3º
23
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSK
4 - 0
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 2
CSK
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
4 - 1
AKS
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 1
ČUK
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 1
ROS
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 2
MET
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 2
HEB
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
WIS
1 - 0
HEB
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 1
HEB
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
HEB
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |