Csepel TC vs ESMTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Csepel TC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CGF
1 - 1
MON
17%
18%
66%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BKV
0 - 1
CGF
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
CGF
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CGF
0 - 1
MLS
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TIS
0 - 1
CGF
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
RAC
0 - 7
ESM
8%
14%
79%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ESM
0 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 0
BUD
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
IVA
0 - 2
ESM
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MLS
0 - 3
ESM
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |