Vargas Torres vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
47
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
CSV
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OCT
36%
27%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
3 - 2
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CUN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
GUA
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |