Vargas Torres vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
55
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 0
CSV
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CSV
3 - 0
AME
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 2
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
CUN
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 1
CUN
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 3
MAC
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 0
CUN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |