Vargas Torres vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 0
CSV
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 5
LIG
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
OCT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |