Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 0-0
Vargas Torres vs Aviced analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CSV
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aviced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
CDA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
AVI
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 0
LDU
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 1
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
4 - 0
AUD
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |