Rayo Santa Cruz vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
4 - 3
RSC
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RSC
5 - 0
ASR
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
RSC
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RSC
2 - 0
SSD
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MFC
3 - 0
RSC
71%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
CDV
40%
22%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OFC
1 - 2
PEÑ
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SJU
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SDR
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |