Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
MAC
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
CLA
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
TEC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
47%
29%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
LOJ
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LDU
2 - 0
MAN
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEC
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |