Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
TEC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
OLM
3 - 3
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
DPT
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
MAC
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 4
FAM
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
OLM
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 1
MAN
48%
30%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 0
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
DPT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |