Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
58
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHA
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
OCT
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 0
INJ
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
IMB
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
AME
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
4 - 2
IMB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |