Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 2
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 7
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
LOJ
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 1
CLA
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
IMB
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 1
MAN
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
IMB
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 1
IMB
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |