Primera A 1 Phase Stage 1 Round 4

Macará vs CS Emelec analysis

Macará CS Emelec
78 ELO 81
-4.9% Tilt -9.4%
680º General ELO ranking 741º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Macará
26.6%
Draw
36%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
Macará
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-9%
-1%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Macará
CS Emelec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
OLM
CD Olmedo
0 - 2
Macará
MAC
28%
27%
44%
78 68 10 0
27 Feb. 2021
MAC
Macará
3 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
32%
26%
42%
77 81 4 +1
20 Feb. 2021
RIV
Guayaquil City
3 - 1
Macará
MAC
36%
28%
37%
77 71 6 0
21 Dec. 2020
MAC
Macará
1 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
27%
25%
48%
77 82 5 0
18 Dec. 2020
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 1
Macará
MAC
34%
27%
39%
77 69 8 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 0
Delfín
DEL
54%
25%
22%
81 77 4 0
28 Feb. 2021
AUC
Aucas
2 - 3
CS Emelec
EME
37%
26%
38%
81 76 5 0
22 Feb. 2021
EME
CS Emelec
4 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
63%
22%
16%
81 70 11 0
21 Dec. 2020
EME
CS Emelec
4 - 1
CD Olmedo
OLM
63%
21%
16%
81 69 12 0
17 Dec. 2020
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
24%
26%
50%
81 70 11 0