Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 2
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CUE
2 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 1
BSC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
QUI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |