Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
LDU
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
DPT
0 - 0
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
UCE
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CUE
2 - 1
ESP
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 1
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 4
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |