Macará vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
55
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
28%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 5
LDU
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
OCT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 3
AME
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 1
CUN
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CUN
3 - 3
ESA
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BBC
1 - 2
CUN
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |