Copa Ecuador Last 16
Global 2-3
Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 2
ROY
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAC
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 0
MAC
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TEC
1 - 1
IVT
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
UCE
6 - 2
TEC
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 2
TEC
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEC
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 3
BSC
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |