Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LDU
1 - 1
TEC
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 3
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
TEC
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 2
BSC
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
EME
3 - 0
TEC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |