Primera A Finals Round 3

Macará vs Barcelona SC analysis

Macará Barcelona SC
73 ELO 78
-2.3% Tilt -6.2%
666º General ELO ranking 657º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.2%
Macará
26.1%
Draw
36.7%
Barcelona SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Macará
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.8%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-10%
+1%
Barcelona SC

ELO progression

Macará
Barcelona SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2008
QUI
Dep. Quito
2 - 0
Macará
MAC
63%
21%
16%
73 78 5 0
19 Oct. 2008
MAC
Macará
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LDU
38%
26%
36%
74 79 5 -1
27 Sep. 2008
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
4 - 3
Macará
MAC
46%
28%
26%
74 77 3 0
21 Sep. 2008
MAC
Macará
2 - 0
Liga de Quito
LDU
37%
27%
36%
73 80 7 +1
14 Sep. 2008
TEC
Técnico Universitario
0 - 0
Macará
MAC
46%
26%
28%
73 67 6 0

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2008
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
50%
27%
23%
78 77 1 0
19 Oct. 2008
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
54%
23%
23%
78 79 1 0
27 Sep. 2008
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
50%
25%
25%
78 79 1 0
20 Sep. 2008
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
Deportivo Azogues
DPT
58%
24%
18%
78 68 10 0
15 Sep. 2008
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 3
Barcelona SC
BSC
41%
26%
33%
77 74 3 +1