Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
DEL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EME
2 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
MAC
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
AUC
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 0
AUC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
DEL
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |